THE FINAL FOUR Nov 30, 2012 16:14:30 GMT -8
Post by Amer on Nov 30, 2012 16:14:30 GMT -8
Four players remain. One of them is a clone. Here goes all the evidence for and against them.
Zac: I don't see any evidence against Zac. Everything he's stated has been what I'd expect from a logical, human player. He could have easily not voted this week and claimed "baby", and Chris would have lived. If Zac is the final clone, he's earned a victory.
Kyle: Kyle started participating again after someone told him to send in answer for a challenge. Chris said that he asked Kyle why he participated and that Kyle told him that Evan told him to participate. Kyle then came on the forum and backed Chris' statements. Seeing that Chris is a clone, this seems to implicate Kyle.
On the other hand, Chris is the one who brought attention to the fact that Kyle had participated in the challenge in the first place. This would make sense if clone Chris was trying to implicate the human Kyle. Once Kyle had plenty of attention and people were suspicious of him, Chris made it perfectly clear that he believed Kyle was human, which would absolve Chris of guilt when Kyle was killed.
Kyle also came to us (Amer, Annie, Farrell) with the private message that Sarah sent him this week, stating that she, Chris, and True were voting for Farrell, and that he should, too. I don't see how Kyle benefits as a clone by sharing this information with us. If Kyle was a clone, he would have simply voted for Farrell and there would be two clones still alive. If Kyle is a clone, his actions have made no sense.
I think it's safe to say Kyle is a human, which means it comes down to True and Sarah.
True: True first drew attention by nominating Sarah and Annie for elimination when everyone was intent on killing Mike. This was rather stupid and made her look cloney, but since Mike and Annie both turned out human, the fact that it brought a lot of attention to True for no gain is actually a point in favor of her being human.
Before this week's vote, she publicly stated that she was 90% sure Chris was a clone and that she voting for him. Note: that was at 11:01am. At 12:13pm — practically the same time — Kyle emailed me, Annie, and Farrell, to tell us that Sarah sent him a message stating that she, True, and Chris, were voting for Farrell, and that he should, too. This makes True look like a conniving liar — she tells us publicly she's voting for Chris while she's privately agreed with Sarah and Chris to vote for Farrell.
She has now posted her defense to this, which appears to be that Farrell was "sneaky" and that she was worried that he would come after her later. It's a rather stupid excuse, but it's believable. I don't see this as damning evidence that she's a clone. She claims that Sarah told her that Farrell was accusing True of being a clone. If we assume that Sarah is the final cone, then this indicates that True was simply duped. True also stated in her defense that she thinks maybe Kyle and Zac are both clones, which, again, tells me that True is somewhat clueless.
As far as I can tell, True is less likely to be a clone than just easily duped. She voted for Farrell because Chris and Sarah tricked her into thinking they were buddies and that Farrell was coming after her. Even after Chris has been revealed as a clone, she appears to be reluctant to suspect Sarah of being a clone. Her "friendship" appears to be a bigger influence in her decisions than facts.
Sarah: I have suspected Sarah for a while. She has been far too quiet. She usually has lots of ridiculous theories which she is constantly posting. When she found that I had voted for her in the clone poll, she didn't protest. Not one word. She didn't want to know why I thought she was a clone. Most likely, she didn't want me publicly stating my case against her.
Now she has posted this big, coherent explanation for her vote this week, which is, again, out of character. In it, her reasons for voting Farrell were nonsense: She said Farrell consorted with dead humans (how does that makes him a clone); Farrell consorted with Zac (he's the least suspicious person left); Farrell pit True and Sarah against each other (even if this was true, how does that make him a clone).
The most damning thing against Sarah is her PM to Kyle. She's admitted that she led the secret campaign against Farrell, but there's one important question here: why didn't she include me and Annie? If she had some good arguments, why not present them to the two known humans? Actually, why even bother with a secret campaign at all? Who was she hiding from? Farrell, sure, but why was Zac left out? If she had good arguments, why hide them?
Sarah conducted her campaign in private because that's the way she and Chris have been operating all season. She included True because she knew True could be easily duped. She included Kyle because she believed Kyle wasn't really interested in playing and would go along with whatever without question (she was wrong). She did not include Farrell because he was the target human. She did not include me, Annie, and Zac, because we are logical humans who were going after her clone partner, Chris. Her defense for killing Farrell was twice the size of any post I've ever seen her make in Mildville, and it cleanly segued into attacking Kyle, who has next to no evidence against him.
It seems quite clear that Sarah is the final clone.
Whatever the case, Kyle and Zac will vote for Sarah, and Sarah will just vote for whomever True randomly decides to vote for, which will lead to a tie, which means the clones win.
We just need need Kyle and Zac to vote for Sarah. Sarah and True can vote for whomever. It doesn't matter.