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Post by Evan on Aug 7, 2015 8:15:28 GMT -8
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cid
Super Person
Posts: 130
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Post by cid on Aug 7, 2015 10:51:27 GMT -8
Dread Pirate Roberts voted for thebay and himself? Witchcraft I say!
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Post by Fluffy Rob on Aug 7, 2015 12:01:38 GMT -8
Boo. I'm dead. Stupid Kraken.
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Post by pandapirate on Aug 7, 2015 12:27:46 GMT -8
Boo. I'm dead. Stupid Kraken. it sucks they took someone active. |
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Jack Tappers
Super Person
Ready to plunder yer booty
Posts: 208 
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Post by Jack Tappers on Aug 7, 2015 13:29:03 GMT -8
Shit. First week is usually a mulligan anyway, but we've basically lost all of our grace period in one go. I'm not sure what to make of the vote record at this point, but it's clear that if you know people who are playing, remind the shit out of them to participate in the immunity challenge! Otherwise we're practically giving the ship away.
The immunity challenge might reveal signs of mutineer collusion this weekend, but for the moment (barring some convoluted mutineer scheme) pandapirate, cid, rupert, and rackham are the only ones that have objectively higher odds of being a mutineer. Not much higher, but it's all we have so far. Someone did a calculation for the first week vote in one of the earlier games and it was something like 3-5% extra chance.
Clearly we need something more to go on. I'd still like to hear why the jailer chose who he chose.
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Jack Tappers
Super Person
Ready to plunder yer booty
Posts: 208
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Post by Jack Tappers on Aug 7, 2015 13:30:21 GMT -8
Boo. I'm dead. Stupid Kraken. it sucks they took someone active. Yeah, dick move Kraken. Don't you know anything about maritime law? |
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Post by Evan on Aug 7, 2015 14:21:01 GMT -8
Dread Pirate Roberts voted for thebay and himself? Witchcraft I say! There is a "Dread Pirate Roberts" a "The Dread Pirate Roberts" and a "Dread Pirate Rackham." Apparently, Mildville players like to make my head explode when tallying up votes. |
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cid
Super Person
Posts: 130
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Post by cid on Aug 7, 2015 14:37:35 GMT -8
Shit. First week is usually a mulligan anyway, but we've basically lost all of our grace period in one go. I'm not sure what to make of the vote record at this point, but it's clear that if you know people who are playing, remind the shit out of them to participate in the immunity challenge! Otherwise we're practically giving the ship away. The immunity challenge might reveal signs of mutineer collusion this weekend, but for the moment (barring some convoluted mutineer scheme) pandapirate, cid, rupert, and rackham are the only ones that have objectively higher odds of being a mutineer. Not much higher, but it's all we have so far. Someone did a calculation for the first week vote in one of the earlier games and it was something like 3-5% extra chance. Clearly we need something more to go on. I'd still like to hear why the jailer chose who he chose. What do you mean "objectively higher odds of being a mutineer"? Just because I happen to vote for someone and that person happened to be executed? I don't know how you determined "objectively" that we're likely to be mutineers, when the only way to determine who is a mutineer and gettng rid of them is voting someone. Why did you direct attention towards me and other 3 pirates even when theres very little to go on in the first round of voting? You voting for no one (claming to have forgotton to vote) while very active and saying that me, rupert, rackham and pandapirate are likely mutineers makes it hard to not think this is suspicious. |
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cid
Super Person
Posts: 130
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Post by cid on Aug 7, 2015 14:41:43 GMT -8
Dread Pirate Roberts voted for thebay and himself? Witchcraft I say! There is a "Dread Pirate Roberts" a "The Dread Pirate Roberts" and a "Dread Pirate Rackham." Apparently, Mildville players like to make my head explode when tallying up votes. Ah, I looked up the Roster and only saw "The Dread Pirate Roberts". I did not realize DPR is "Dread Priate Roberts". I guess counting up the votes is going to be dreadful for you for a while. |
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Jack Tappers
Super Person
Ready to plunder yer booty
Posts: 208
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Post by Jack Tappers on Aug 7, 2015 15:15:18 GMT -8
It's definitely not a good look that I would go bandying about accusations based on the pure guesswork vote. It's just that voting out an honest pirate is good for the mutineers, and the odds that [someone votes for an honest pirate given that they are a mutineer], affects the odds that [someone is a mutineer, given that they voted for a confirmed honest pirate]. Yes, it could be that the mutineers decided to vote at random, but it's still one among many strategies, and not a complete wash. I'll accept that the increased chance could be more like 1-3%
I'm not saying that the next vote is a choice between you four, I just wanted to point out that interpretation, and how little information it's actually worth, before a chaos-monger started taking potshots. A difference in odds of 3-5% (or 1-3%) is very small when the base chance for everyone is usually 1/3 at the start.
Therefore, I still trust you effectively as much as I trust anyone else so far: as far as I can throw you.
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Post by vitaminc on Aug 10, 2015 10:52:04 GMT -8
All the names are confusing me greatly
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Jack Tappers
Super Person
Ready to plunder yer booty
Posts: 208
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Post by Jack Tappers on Aug 10, 2015 12:30:15 GMT -8
How about we just say Drinking Pirate Roberts for the one with the goblet in his avatar
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Post by Jack Cutlass on Aug 13, 2015 10:49:03 GMT -8
But I did vote Cap'n....for Tquizz
Oh well. Death to Mutineers!!
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Post by Evan on Aug 14, 2015 6:42:17 GMT -8
But I did vote Cap'n....for Tquizz Oh well. Death to Mutineers!! I just double-checked my inbox, and I don't have a pm vote from you for last week. |
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DPR
Super Person
Posts: 9
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Post by DPR on Aug 21, 2015 7:51:21 GMT -8
How about we just say Drinking Pirate Roberts for the one with the goblet in his avatar I'm ok with that |
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May 11, 2020 20:28:03 GMT -8
May 11, 2020 20:28:03 GMT -8