Post by The Dread Pirate Roberts on Sept 25, 2015 12:16:12 GMT -8
There are only six people left who could be the Kraken. (Rackham, piratebooty, and Flynn are logically eliminated).
cid
landlubber
sidmeier
The Dread Pirate Roberts
thebay
williammccoy
cid is the most likely candidate because of the drawing challenge. His drawing style was the most similar to the Kraken's, and they both used pencil on plain paper. He also made his Kraken portrait his profile picture, which is just tempting people to call him the Kraken. In cid's defense, I will point out this post. It is entirely against the Kraken's benefit to defend anyone from Kraken accusations. The Kraken would want everyone to be suspected of being the Kraken, so I think this is a pretty strong indicator that cid may be a victim of circumstance.
If cid turns out to not be the Kraken, then it appears that we will be shooting blindly. I'd like to add some analysis to that.
It appears that the Kraken is smart. He's been very quiet. He has apparently avoided killing in order to incriminate people. It's even possible that he drew his portrait in a style that was designed to mimic cid's drawing. This week, he chose to kill a mutineer—he knew to go after someone that can't be the Kraken, which gives him a larger pool to hide in. Captain Brownbeard ended the mutineer hunt early and shifted us to finding the Kraken, which leads me to believe that the Kraken is hiding well. It's probably someone who has never been targeted.
Based on this, I would expect the Kraken to have blended in throughout the season. He should have voted, to stay active, but voted with the group so that he blends. He should have spoken a bit, to appear active, but not been accusatory, because the more vocal you are, the more likely that people will target you. The last thing that the Kraken would want is for people to vote him out because they thought he was a mutineer.
I'm not including myself in this list because I know I'm not the Kraken. You'll have to do your own analysis on that.
I would eliminate landlubber from the list, almost entirely because of this post. The Kraken wouldn't be helping to narrow down who the Kraken is.
I doubt that william is the Kraken. He spent too many weeks not voting, including this week, and he didn't vote with the group.
sidmeier has made exactly two posts. That's a little too quiet, I think, but he's still a candidate.
thebay's comment are a bit erratic. He speaks a lot, but never accuses anyone. He's voted with the group. I think he fits the profile best.
People will probably vote for cid, but I now have my doubts. He has been a very smart player all season. If he is the Kraken, it would have been some foolish mistakes that revealed him. This game makes people paranoid and very quick to accuse, but I now think cid would have been smart enough to not make his two drawings so similar if he was the Kraken, and he wouldn't have been so dumb as to out himself with his profile picture.
I think I'm going to vote for landlubber this week. He fits the profile best.
cid
landlubber
sidmeier
The Dread Pirate Roberts
thebay
williammccoy
cid is the most likely candidate because of the drawing challenge. His drawing style was the most similar to the Kraken's, and they both used pencil on plain paper. He also made his Kraken portrait his profile picture, which is just tempting people to call him the Kraken. In cid's defense, I will point out this post. It is entirely against the Kraken's benefit to defend anyone from Kraken accusations. The Kraken would want everyone to be suspected of being the Kraken, so I think this is a pretty strong indicator that cid may be a victim of circumstance.
If cid turns out to not be the Kraken, then it appears that we will be shooting blindly. I'd like to add some analysis to that.
It appears that the Kraken is smart. He's been very quiet. He has apparently avoided killing in order to incriminate people. It's even possible that he drew his portrait in a style that was designed to mimic cid's drawing. This week, he chose to kill a mutineer—he knew to go after someone that can't be the Kraken, which gives him a larger pool to hide in. Captain Brownbeard ended the mutineer hunt early and shifted us to finding the Kraken, which leads me to believe that the Kraken is hiding well. It's probably someone who has never been targeted.
Based on this, I would expect the Kraken to have blended in throughout the season. He should have voted, to stay active, but voted with the group so that he blends. He should have spoken a bit, to appear active, but not been accusatory, because the more vocal you are, the more likely that people will target you. The last thing that the Kraken would want is for people to vote him out because they thought he was a mutineer.
I'm not including myself in this list because I know I'm not the Kraken. You'll have to do your own analysis on that.
I would eliminate landlubber from the list, almost entirely because of this post. The Kraken wouldn't be helping to narrow down who the Kraken is.
I doubt that william is the Kraken. He spent too many weeks not voting, including this week, and he didn't vote with the group.
sidmeier has made exactly two posts. That's a little too quiet, I think, but he's still a candidate.
thebay's comment are a bit erratic. He speaks a lot, but never accuses anyone. He's voted with the group. I think he fits the profile best.
People will probably vote for cid, but I now have my doubts. He has been a very smart player all season. If he is the Kraken, it would have been some foolish mistakes that revealed him. This game makes people paranoid and very quick to accuse, but I now think cid would have been smart enough to not make his two drawings so similar if he was the Kraken, and he wouldn't have been so dumb as to out himself with his profile picture.
I think I'm going to vote for landlubber this week. He fits the profile best.
